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Bird Flu Tips
Bird flu is an infection caused by avian (bird) influenza(flu) viruses. These flu viruses
occur naturally among birds. Wild birds worldwide carry the virusesin their intestines, but usually do not get sick from them.
However, bird flu is very contagious among birds andcan make some domesticated birds, including chickens, ducks, and turkeys,very sick and kill them.
Last Updated - 12th November 2005
Do bird flu viruses infect humans?
Bird flu viruses do not usually infect humans, but several cases ofhuman infection with bird flu viruses have occurred since 1997.
How are bird flu viruses different from humanflu viruses?
There are many different subtypes of type A influenza viruses. Thesesubtypes differ because of certain proteins on the surface of the influenzaA virus (hemagglutinin [HA] and neuraminidase [NA] proteins). Thereare 16 different HA subtypes and 9 different NA subtypes of flu A viruses.Many different combinations of HA and NA proteins are possible. Eachcombination is a different subtype. All known subtypes of flu A virusescan be found in birds. However, when we talk about bird fluviruses, we are referring to influenza A subtypes chiefly found in birds.They do not usually infect humans, even though we know they can. Whenwe talk about human flu viruses we are referring to thosesubtypes that occur widely in humans. There are only three known A subtypesof human flu viruses (H1N1, H1N2, and H3N2); it is likely that somegenetic parts of current human influenza A viruses came from birds originally.Influenza A viruses are constantly changing, and they might adapt overtime to infect and spread among humans.
What are the symptoms of bird flu in humans?
Symptoms of bird flu in humans have ranged from typical flu-like symptoms(fever, cough, sore throat and muscle aches) to eye infections, pneumonia,severe respiratory diseases (such as acute respiratory distress), andother severe and life-threatening complications. The symptoms of birdflu may depend on which virus caused the infection.
How does bird flu spread?
Infected birds shed flu virus in their saliva, nasal secretions, andfeces. Susceptible birds become infected when they have contact withcontaminated excretions or surfaces that are contaminated with excretions.It is believed that most cases of bird flu infection in humans haveresulted from contact with infected poultry or contaminated surfaces.The spread of avian influenza viruses from one ill person to anotherhas been reported very rarely, and transmission has not been observedto continue beyond one person.
How is bird flu in humans treated?
Studies done in laboratories suggest that the prescription medicinesapproved for human flu viruses should work in preventing bird flu infectionin humans. However, flu viruses can become resistant to these drugs,so these medications may not always work. Additional studies are neededto prove the effectiveness of these medicines.
What is the risk to humans from bird flu?
The risk from bird flu is generally low to most people because theviruses occur mainly among birds and do not usually infect humans. However,during an outbreak of bird flu among poultry (domesticated chicken,ducks, turkeys), there is a possible risk to people who have contactwith infected birds or surfaces that have been contaminated with excretionsfrom infected birds. The current outbreak of avian influenza A (H5N1)among poultry in Asia and Europe is an example of a bird flu outbreakthat has caused human infections and deaths. In such situations, peopleshould avoid contact with infected birds or contaminated surfaces, andshould be careful when handling and cooking poultry. In rare instances,limited human-to-human spread of H5N1 virus has occurred, and transmissionhas not been observed to continue beyond one person.
What is an avian influenza A (H5N1) virus?
Influenza A (H5N1) virus also called H5N1 virus is an influenza A virus subtype that occurs mainly in birds.Like all bird flu viruses, H5N1 virus circulates among birds worldwide,is very contagious among birds, and can be deadly.
What is the H5N1 bird flu that has been reportedin Asia and Europe?
Outbreaks of influenza H5N1 occurred among poultry in eight countriesin Asia (Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, Laos , South Korea , Thailand, and Vietnam) during late 2003 and early 2004. At that time, more than100 million birds in the affected countries either died from the diseaseor were killed in order to try to control the outbreak. By March 2004,the outbreak was reported to be under control. Beginning in late June2004, however, new outbreaks of influenza H5N1 among poultry were reportedby several countries in Asia (Cambodia, China [ Tibet ], Indonesia,Kazakhastan, Malaysia, Mongolia, Russia [ Siberia ], Thailand, and Vietnam).It is believed that these outbreaks are ongoing. Most recently, influenzaH5N1 has been reported among poultry in Turkey and Romania. Human infectionsof influenza A (H5N1) have been reported in Cambodia, Indonesia, Thailand,and Vietnam.
What is the risk to humans from the H5N1 virusin Asia and Europe?
The H5N1 virus does not usually infect humans. In 1997. However, thefirst case of spread from a bird to a human was seen during an outbreakof bird flu in poultry in Hong Kong, Special Administrative Region.The virus caused severe respiratory illness in 18 people, 6 of whomdied. Since that time, there have been other cases of H5N1 infectionamong humans. Recent human cases of H5N1 infection that have occurredin Cambodia, Thailand, and Vietnam have coincided with large H5N1 outbreaksin poultry. The World Health Organization (WHO) also has reported humancases in Indonesia. Most of these cases have occurred from contact withinfected poultry or contaminated surfaces; however, it is thought thata few cases of human-to-human spread of H5N1 have occurred.
So far, spread of H5N1 virus from person to person has been rare andhas not continued beyond one person. However, because all influenzaviruses have the ability to change, scientists are concerned that theH5N1 virus one day could be able to infect humans and spread easilyfrom one person to another. Because these viruses do not commonly infecthumans, there is little or no immune protection against them in thehuman population. If the H5N1 virus were able to infect people and spreadeasily from person to person, an influenza pandemic (worldwide outbreakof disease) could begin. No one can predict when a pandemic might occur.However, experts from around the world are watching the H5N1 situationin Asia very closely and are preparing for the possibility that thevirus may begin to spread more easily and widely from person to person.
How is infection with H5N1 virus in humanstreated?
The H5N1 virus currently infecting birds in Asia that has caused humanillness and death is resistant to amantadine and rimantadine, two antiviralmedications commonly used for influenza. Two other antiviral medications,oseltamavir and zanamavir, would probably work to treat flu caused bythe H5N1 virus, but additional studies still need to be done to provetheir effectiveness.
Is there a vaccine to protect humans fromH5N1 virus?
There currently is no commercially available vaccine to protect humansagainst the H5N1 virus that is being seen in Asia and Europe . However,vaccine development efforts are taking place. Research studies to testa vaccine to protect humans against H5N1 virus began in April 2005,and a series of clinical trials is underway.
What is the risk to people in the United Statesfrom the H5N1 bird flu outbreak in Asia and Europe ?
The current risk to Americans from the H5N1 bird flu outbreak in Asiais low. The strain of H5N1 virus found in Asia and Europe has not beenfound in the United States . There have been no human cases of H5N1flu in the United States . It is possible that travelers returning fromaffected countries in Asia could be infected if they were exposed tothe virus. Since February 2004, medical and public health personnelhave been watching closely to find any such cases.
Instances of Avian Influenza Infections inHumans
Confirmed instances of avian influenza viruses infecting humans since1997 include:
- H5N1, Hong Kong, Special Administrative Region, 1997:Highly pathogenic avian influenza A (H5N1) infections occurred inboth poultry and humans. This was the first time an avian influenzaA virus transmission directly from birds to humans had been found.During this outbreak, 18 people were hospitalized and six of themdied. To control the outbreak, authorities killed about 1.5 millionchickens to remove the source of the virus. Scientists determinedthat the virus spread primarily from birds to humans, though rareperson-to-person infection was noted.
- H9N2, China and Hong Kong , Special AdministrativeRegion, 1999: Low pathogenic avian influenza A (H9N2) virus infectionwas confirmed in two children and resulted in uncomplicated influenza-likeillness. Both patients recovered, and no additional cases were confirmed.The source is unknown, but the evidence suggested that poultry wasthe source of infection and the main mode of transmission was frombird to human. However, the possibility of person-to-person transmissioncould not be ruled out. Several additional human H9N2 infections werereported from China in 1998-99.
- H7N2, Virginia , 2002: Following an outbreak of H7N2among poultry in the Shenandoah Valley poultry production area, oneperson was found to have serologic evidence of infection with H7N2.
- H5N1, China and Hong Kong, Special AdministrativeRegion, 2003: Two cases of highly pathogenic avian influenza A (H5N1)infection occurred among members of a Hong Kong family that had traveledto China . One person recovered, the other died. How or where thesetwo family members were infected was not determined. Another familymember died of a respiratory illness in China , but no testing wasdone.
- H7N7, Netherlands, 2003: The Netherlands reportedoutbreaks of influenza A (H7N7) in poultry on several farms. Later,infections were reported among pigs and humans. In total, 89 peoplewere confirmed to have H7N7 influenza virus infection associated withthis poultry outbreak. These cases occurred mostly among poultry workers.H7N7-associated illness included 78 cases of conjunctivitis (eye infections)only; 5 cases of conjunctivitis and influenza-like illnesses withcough, fever, and muscle aches; 2 cases of influenza-like illnessonly; and 4 cases that were classified as other. Therewas one death among the 89 total cases. It occurred in a veterinarianwho visited one of the affected farms and developed acute respiratorydistress syndrome and complications related to H7N7 infection. Themajority of these cases occurred as a result of direct contact withinfected poultry; however, Dutch authorities reported three possibleinstances of transmission from poultry workers to family members.Since then, no other instances of H7N7 infection among humans havebeen reported.
- H9N2, Hong Kong , Special Administrative Region, 2003:Low pathogenic avian influenza A (H9N2) infection was confirmed ina child in Hong Kong . The child was hospitalized and recovered.
- H7N2, New York , 2003: In November 2003, a patientwith serious underlying medical conditions was admitted to a hospitalin New York with respiratory symptoms. One of the initial laboratorytests identified an influenza A virus that was thought to be H1N1.The patient recovered and went home after a few weeks. Subsequentconfirmatory tests conducted in March 2004 showed that the patienthad been infected with avian influenza A (H7N2) virus.
H7N3 in Canada, 2004: In February 2004, human infections of highlypathogenic avian influenza A (H7N3) among poultry workers were associatedwith an H7N3 outbreak among poultry. The H7N3-associated, mild illnessesconsisted of eye infections.- H5N1, Thailand and Vietnam, 2004, and other outbreaksin Asia during 2004 and 2005: In January 2004, outbreaks of highlypathogenic influenza A (H5N1) in Asia were first reported by the WorldHealth Organization.
Symptoms of Avian Influenza in Humans
The reported symptoms of avian influenza in humans have ranged fromtypical influenza-like symptoms (e.g., fever, cough, sore throat, andmuscle aches) to eye infections (conjunctivitis), pneumonia, acute respiratorydistress, viral pneumonia, and other severe and life-threatening complications.
Antiviral Agents for Influenza
Four different influenza antiviral drugs (amantadine, rimantadine,oseltamivir, and zanamivir) are approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration(FDA) for the treatment of influenza; three are approved for prophylaxis.All four have activity against influenza A viruses. However, sometimesinfluenza strains can become resistant to these drugs, and thereforethe drugs may not always be effective. For example, analyses of someof the 2004 H5N1 viruses isolated from poultry and humans in Asia haveshown that the viruses are resistant to two of the medications (amantadineand rimantadine). Monitoring of avian influenza A viruses for resistanceto influenza antiviral medications is ongoing.
Which viruses cause highly pathogenic disease?Influenza A viruses1 have 16 H subtypes and 9 N subtypes2. Only virusesof the H5 and H7 subtypes are known to cause the highly pathogenic formof the disease. However, not all viruses of the H5 and H7 subtypes arehighly pathogenic and not all will cause severe disease in poultry.
On present understanding, H5 and H7 viruses are introduced to poultryflocks in their low pathogenic form. When allowed to circulate in poultrypopulations, the viruses can mutate, usually within a few months, intothe highly pathogenic form. This is why the presence of an H5 or H7virus in poultry is always cause for concern, even when the initialsigns of infection are mild.
Do migratory birds spread highly pathogenicavian influenza viruses?
The role of migratory birds in the spread of highly pathogenic avianinfluenza is not fully understood. Wild waterfowl are considered thenatural reservoir of all influenza A viruses. They have probably carriedinfluenza viruses, with no apparent harm, for centuries. They are knownto carry viruses of the H5 and H7 subtypes, but usually in the low pathogenicform. Considerable circumstantial evidence suggests that migratory birdscan introduce low pathogenic H5 and H7 viruses to poultry flocks, whichthen mutate to the highly pathogenic form.
In the past, highly pathogenic viruses have been isolated from migratorybirds on very rare occasions involving a few birds, usually found deadwithin the flight range of a poultry outbreak. This finding long suggestedthat wild waterfowl are not agents for the onward transmission of theseviruses.
Recent events make it likely that some migratory birds are now directlyspreading the H5N1 virus in its highly pathogenic form. Further spreadto new areas is expected.
What is special about the current outbreaksin poultry?
The current outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian influenza, which beganin South-east Asia in mid-2003, are the largest and most severe on record.Never before in the history of this disease have so many countries beensimultaneously affected, resulting in the loss of so many birds.
The causative agent, the H5N1 virus, has proved to be especially tenacious.Despite the death or destruction of an estimated 150 million birds,the virus is now considered endemic in many parts of Indonesia and VietNam and in some parts of Cambodia, China, Thailand, and possibly alsothe Lao Peoples Democratic Republic. Control of the disease inpoultry is expected to take several years.
The H5N1 virus is also of particular concern for human health, as explainedbelow.
Which countries have been affected by outbreaksin poultry?
From mid-December 2003 through early February 2004, poultry outbreakscaused by the H5N1 virus were reported in eight Asian nations (listedin order of reporting): the Republic of Korea, Viet Nam, Japan, Thailand,Cambodia, Lao Peoples Democratic Republic, Indonesia, and China.Most of these countries had never before experienced an outbreak of highlypathogenic avian influenza in their histories.
In early August 2004, Malaysia reported its first outbreak of H5N1in poultry, becoming the ninth Asian nation affected. Russia reportedits first H5N1 outbreak in poultry in late July 2005, followed by reportsof disease in adjacent parts of Kazakhstan in early August. Deaths ofwild birds from highly pathogenic H5N1 were reported in both countries.Almost simultaneously, Mongolia reported the detection of H5N1 in deadmigratory birds. In October 2005, H5N1 was confirmed in poultry in Turkeyand Romania. Outbreaks in wild and domestic birds are under investigationelsewhere.
Japan, the Republic of Korea, and Malaysia have announced control oftheir poultry outbreaks and are now considered free of the disease.In the other affected areas, outbreaks are continuing with varying degreesof severity.
What are the implications for human health?
The widespread persistence of H5N1 in poultry populations poses twomain risks for human health.
- The first is the risk of direct infection when thevirus passes from poultry to humans, resulting in very severe disease.Of the few avian influenza viruses that have crossed the species barrierto infect humans, H5N1 has caused the largest number of cases of severedisease and death in humans. Unlike normal seasonal influenza, whereinfection causes only mild respiratory symptoms in most people, thedisease caused by H5N1 follows an unusually aggressive clinical course,with rapid deterioration and high fatality. Primary viral pneumoniaand multi-organ failure are common. In the present outbreak, morethan half of those infected with the virus have died. Most cases haveoccurred in previously healthy children and young adults.
- A second risk, of even greater concern, is that thevirus if given enough opportunities will change intoa form that is highly infectious for humans and spreads easily fromperson to person. Such a change could mark the start of a global outbreak(a pandemic).
Where have human cases occurred?
In the current outbreak, laboratory-confirmed human cases have beenreported in four countries: Cambodia, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam.
Hong Kong has experienced two outbreaks in the past. In 1997, in thefirst recorded instance of human infection with H5N1, the virus infected18 people and killed 6 of them. In early 2003, the virus caused twoinfections, with one death, in a Hong Kong family with a recent travelhistory to southern China.
How do people become infected?
Direct contact with infected poultry, or surfaces and objects contaminatedby their faeces, is presently considered the main route of human infection.To date, most human cases have occurred in rural or periurban areaswhere many households keep small poultry flocks, which often roam freely,sometimes entering homes or sharing outdoor areas where children play.As infected birds shed large quantities of virus in their faeces, opportunitiesfor exposure to infected droppings or to environments contaminated bythe virus are abundant under such conditions. Moreover, because manyhouseholds in Asia depend on poultry for income and food, many familiessell or slaughter and consume birds when signs of illness appear ina flock, and this practice has proved difficult to change. Exposureis considered most likely during slaughter, defeathering, butchering,and preparation of poultry for cooking.
Is it safe to eat poultry and poultry products?
- Yes, though certain precautions should be followedin countries currently experiencing outbreaks. In areas free of thedisease, poultry and poultry products can be prepared and consumedas usual (following good hygienic practices and proper cooking), withno fear of acquiring infection with the H5N1 virus.
- In areas experiencing outbreaks, poultry and poultryproducts can also be safely consumed provided these items are properlycooked and properly handled during food preparation. The H5N1 virusis sensitive to heat. Normal temperatures used for cooking (70oC inall parts of the food) will kill the virus. Consumers need to be surethat all parts of the poultry are fully cooked (no pinkparts) and that eggs, too, are properly cooked (no runnyyolks).
- Consumers should also be aware of the risk of cross-contamination.Juices from raw poultry and poultry products should never be allowed,during food preparation, to touch or mix with items eaten raw. Whenhandling raw poultry or raw poultry products, persons involved infood preparation should wash their hands thoroughly and clean anddisinfect surfaces in contact with the poultry products Soap and hotwater are sufficient for this purpose.
- In areas experiencing outbreaks in poultry, raw eggsshould not be used in foods that will not be further heat-treatedas, for example by cooking or baking.
- Avian influenza is not transmitted through cookedfood. To date, no evidence indicates that anyone has become infectedfollowing the consumption of properly cooked poultry or poultry products,even when these foods were contaminated with the H5N1 virus.
Does the virus spread easily from birds tohumans?
No. Though more than 100 human cases have occurred in the current outbreak,this is a small number compared with the huge number of birds affectedand the numerous associated opportunities for human exposure, especiallyin areas where backyard flocks are common. It is not presently understoodwhy some people, and not others, become infected following similar exposures.
What about the pandemic risk?
A pandemic can start when three conditions have been met:
- A new influenza virus subtype emerges
- It infects humans, causing serious illness
- It spreads easily and sustainably among humans.
The H5N1 virus amply meets the first two conditions: it is a new virusfor humans (H5N1 viruses have never circulated widely among people),and it has infected more than 100 humans, killing over half of them.No one will have immunity should an H5N1-like pandemic virus emerge.
All prerequisites for the start of a pandemic have therefore been metsave one: the establishment of efficient and sustained human-to-humantransmission of the virus. The risk that the H5N1 virus will acquirethis ability will persist as long as opportunities for human infectionsoccur. These opportunities, in turn, will persist as long as the viruscontinues to circulate in birds, and this situation could endure forsome years to come.
What changes are needed for H5N1 to becomea pandemic virus?
The virus can improve its transmissibility among humans via two principalmechanisms. The first is a reassortment event, in whichgenetic material is exchanged between human and avian viruses duringco-infection of a human or pig. Reassortment could result in a fullytransmissible pandemic virus, announced by a sudden surge of cases withexplosive spread.
The second mechanism is a more gradual process of adaptive mutation,whereby the capability of the virus to bind to human cells increasesduring subsequent infections of humans. Adaptive mutation, expressedinitially as small clusters of human cases with some evidence of human-to-humantransmission, would probably give the world some time to take defensiveaction.
What is the significance of limited human-to-humantransmission?
Though rare, instances of limited human-to-human transmission of H5N1and other avian influenza viruses have occurred in association withoutbreaks in poultry and should not be a cause for alarm. In no instancehas the virus spread beyond a first generation of close contacts orcaused illness in the general community. Data from these incidents suggestthat transmission requires very close contact with an ill person. Suchincidents must be thoroughly investigated but provided the investigationindicates that transmission from person to person is very limited such incidents will not change the WHO overall assessment of the pandemicrisk. There have been a number of instances of avian influenza infectionoccurring among close family members. It is often impossible to determineif human-to-human transmission has occurred since the family membersare exposed to the same animal and environmental sources as well asto one another.
How serious is the current pandemic risk?
The risk of pandemic influenza is serious. With the H5N1 virus nowfirmly entrenched in large parts of Asia, the risk that more human caseswill occur will persist. Each additional human case gives the virusan opportunity to improve its transmissibility in humans, and thus developinto a pandemic strain. The recent spread of the virus to poultry andwild birds in new areas further broadens opportunities for human casesto occur. While neither the timing nor the severity of the next pandemiccan be predicted, the probability that a pandemic will occur has increased.
Are there any other causes for concern?
Yes. Several.
- Domestic ducks can now excrete large quantities ofhighly pathogenic virus without showing signs of illness, and arenow acting as a silent reservoir of the virus, perpetuatingtransmission to other birds. This adds yet another layer of complexityto control efforts and removes the warning signal for humans to avoidrisky behaviours.
- When compared with H5N1 viruses from 1997 and early2004, H5N1 viruses now circulating are more lethal to experimentallyinfected mice and to ferrets (a mammalian model) and survive longerin the environment.
- H5N1 appears to have expanded its host range, infectingand killing mammalian species previously considered resistant to infectionwith avian influenza viruses.
- The behaviour of the virus in its natural reservoir,wild waterfowl, may be changing. The spring 2005 die-off of upwardsof 6,000 migratory birds at a nature reserve in central China, causedby highly pathogenic H5N1, was highly unusual and probably unprecedented.In the past, only two large die-offs in migratory birds, caused byhighly pathogenic viruses, are known to have occurred: in South Africain 1961 (H5N3) and in Hong Kong in the winter of 20022003 (H5N1).
Why are pandemics such dreaded events?
Influenza pandemics are remarkable events that can rapidly infect virtuallyall countries. Once international spread begins, pandemics are consideredunstoppable, caused as they are by a virus that spreads very rapidlyby coughing or sneezing. The fact that infected people can shed virusbefore symptoms appear adds to the risk of international spread viaasymptomatic air travellers.
The severity of disease and the number of deaths caused by a pandemicvirus vary greatly, and cannot be known prior to the emergence of thevirus. During past pandemics, attack rates reached 25-35% of the totalpopulation. Under the best circumstances, assuming that the new viruscauses mild disease, the world could still experience an estimated 2million to 7.4 million deaths (projected from data obtained during the1957 pandemic). Projections for a more virulent virus are much higher.The 1918 pandemic, which was exceptional, killed at least 40 millionpeople. In the USA, the mortality rate during that pandemic was around2.5%.
Pandemics can cause large surges in the numbers of people requiringor seeking medical or hospital treatment, temporarily overwhelming healthservices. High rates of worker absenteeism can also interrupt otheressential services, such as law enforcement, transportation, and communications.Because populations will be fully susceptible to an H5N1-like virus,rates of illness could peak fairly rapidly within a given community.This means that local social and economic disruptions may be temporary.They may, however, be amplified in todays closely interrelatedand interdependent systems of trade and commerce. Based on past experience,a second wave of global spread should be anticipated within a year.
As all countries are likely to experience emergency conditions duringa pandemic, opportunities for inter-country assistance, as seen duringnatural disasters or localized disease outbreaks, may be curtailed onceinternational spread has begun and governments focus on protecting domesticpopulations.
What are the most important warning signalsthat a pandemic is about to start?
The most important warning signal comes when clusters of patients withclinical symptoms of influenza, closely related in time and place, aredetected, as this suggests human-to-human transmission is taking place.For similar reasons, the detection of cases in health workers caringfor H5N1 patients would suggest human-to-human transmission. Detectionof such events should be followed by immediate field investigation ofevery possible case to confirm the diagnosis, identify the source, anddetermine whether human-to-human transmission is occurring.
Studies of viruses, conducted by specialized WHO reference laboratories,can corroborate field investigations by spotting genetic and other changesin the virus indicative of an improved ability to infect humans. Thisis why WHO repeatedly asks affected countries to share viruses withthe international research community.
What is the status of vaccine developmentand production?
Vaccines effective against a pandemic virus are not yet available.Vaccines are produced each year for seasonal influenza but will notprotect against pandemic influenza. Although a vaccine against the H5N1virus is under development in several countries, no vaccine is readyfor commercial production and no vaccines are expected to be widelyavailable until several months after the start of a pandemic.
Some clinical trials are now under way to test whether experimentalvaccines will be fully protective and to determine whether differentformulations can economize on the amount of antigen required, thus boostingproduction capacity. Because the vaccine needs to closely match thepandemic virus, large-scale commercial production will not start untilthe new virus has emerged and a pandemic has been declared. Currentglobal production capacity falls far short of the demand expected duringa pandemic.
What drugs are available for treatment?
Two drugs (in the neuraminidase inhibitors class), oseltamivir (commerciallyknown as Tamiflu) and zanamivir (commercially known as Relenza) canreduce the severity and duration of illness caused by seasonal influenza.The efficacy of the neuraminidase inhibitors depends on their administrationwithin 48 hours after symptom onset. For cases of human infection withH5N1, the drugs may improve prospects of survival, if administered early,but clinical data are limited. The H5N1 virus is expected to be susceptibleto the neuraminidase inhibitors.
An older class of antiviral drugs, the M2 inhibitors amantadine andrimantadine, could potentially be used against pandemic influenza, butresistance to these drugs can develop rapidly and this could significantlylimit their effectiveness against pandemic influenza. Some currentlycirculating H5N1 strains are fully resistant to these the M2 inhibitors.However, should a new virus emerge through reassortment, the M2 inhibitorsmight be effective.
For the neuraminidase inhibitors, the main constraints whichare substantial involve limited production capacity and a pricethat is prohibitively high for many countries. At present manufacturingcapacity, which has recently quadrupled, it will take a decade to produceenough oseltamivir to treat 20% of the worlds population. Themanufacturing process for oseltamivir is complex and time-consuming,and is not easily transferred to other facilities.
So far, most fatal pneumonia seen in cases of H5N1 infection has resultedfrom the effects of the virus, and cannot be treated with antibiotics.Nonetheless, since influenza is often complicated by secondary bacterialinfection of the lungs, antibiotics could be life-saving in the caseof late-onset pneumonia. WHO regards it as prudent for countries toensure adequate supplies of antibiotics in advance.
Can a pandemic be prevented?
No one knows with certainty. The best way to prevent a pandemic wouldbe to eliminate the virus from birds, but it has become increasinglydoubtful if this can be achieved within the near future.
Following a donation by industry, WHO will have a stockpile of antiviralmedications, sufficient for 3 million treatment courses, by early 2006.Recent studies, based on mathematical modelling, suggest that thesedrugs could be used prophylactically near the start of a pandemic toreduce the risk that a fully transmissible virus will emerge or at leastto delay its international spread, thus gaining time to augment vaccinesupplies.
The success of this strategy, which has never been tested, dependson several assumptions about the early behaviour of a pandemic virus,which cannot be known in advance. Success also depends on excellentsurveillance and logistics capacity in the initially affected areas,combined with an ability to enforce movement restrictions in and outof the affected area. To increase the likelihood that early interventionusing the WHO rapid-intervention stockpile of antiviral drugs will besuccessful, surveillance in affected countries needs to improve, particularlyconcerning the capacity to detect clusters of cases closely relatedin time and place.
Is the world adequately prepared?
No. Despite an advance warning that has lasted almost two years, theworld is ill-prepared to defend itself during a pandemic. WHO has urgedall countries to develop preparedness plans, but only around 40 havedone so. WHO has further urged countries with adequate resources tostockpile antiviral drugs nationally for use at the start of a pandemic.Around 30 countries are purchasing large quantities of these drugs,but the manufacturer has no capacity to fill these orders immediately.On present trends, most developing countries will have no access tovaccines and antiviral drugs throughout the duration of a pandemic.
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Disclaimer: The Bird Flu Tips / Information presentedand opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarilyrepresent the views of TipsAndTreats.com and/or its partners.